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The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
byttapper04 ( 955370 ) writes:
1. Say something provocative and be sure to mention open source.
2. Post on slashdot.
3. Sneak in something insightful.
4. ???????
5. Profit!!!1
byFatMacDaddy ( 878246 ) writes:
This is the Gartner Group we're talking about. The only thing that amazes me is that anyone still pays them any attention at all. I still have some presentation materials around here somewhere where they warn that 30% of US businesses will fail due to Y2K problems.
byarun_s ( 877518 ) writes:
Heheh. I just did a search for 'site:slashdot.org gartner' and here are some weird analyses they've come up with in the past:
Gartner Says Linux PCs Just Used To Pirate Windows [slashdot.org] (2004)
Gartner Recommends Holding Onto The SCO Money [slashdot.org] (2003)
(Sure they got some better ones too, I just picked the funnies)
byMickDownUnder ( 627418 ) writes:
The Gartner group is like any other company, they create material for the purpose of making profit. Their criteria for selecting topics are as follows:
1. The topic must be topical and something people are extremely interested in
2. It must be purely speculatory to make it impossible for anyone to dispute any information they manufacture.
3. It must be loaded and contraversial.
All the topics you've listed and this topic fall into those 3.
Gartner reports are nearly always ridiculous in hindsight, they're just taking shots in the dark like most other people. But that doesn't really matter as everyone who was going to purchase their paper has already done so well before it's ludicrousness ever fully makes itself apparent.
However in this case I think the veracity of this report is probably easier to determine than most, seeing as most software is semi-redundant after 3 years, you would simply need to conduct a slashdot pole and find out what the percentage of time developers are working on closed source as opposed to open source. If that pole showed 80% of development time was currently being used to write code that would be licensed as open source then Gartner would have it right.... 80% of the non-redundant source code out there 3 years from now would be open source.
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