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Don’t Doubt the Ceasefire
The second Minsk ceasefire agreement, signed on February 12, had an inauspicious beginning. Just after the ceasefire was supposed to come into effect, the separatist rebels forced Ukrainian troops to retreat from the encircled city of Debaltseve. The city’s fall, and the continued fighting along the front, could prove to be an early end to the ceasefire. But hope remains that it is actually a begi
The Resistible Rise of Vladimir Putin
How did twenty-first-century Russia end up, yet again, in personal rule? An advanced industrial country of 142 million people, it has no enduring political parties that organize and respond to voter preferences. The military is sprawling yet tame; the immense secret police are effectively in one man’s pocket. The hydrocarbon sector is a personal bank, and indeed much of the economy is increasingly
Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault | Foreign Affairs
According to the prevailing wisdom in the West, the Ukraine crisis can be blamed almost entirely on Russian aggression. Russian President Vladimir Putin, the argument goes, annexed Crimea out of a long-standing desire to resuscitate the Soviet empire, and he may eventually go after the rest of Ukraine, as well as other countries in eastern Europe. In this view, the ouster of Ukrainian President Vi
Putin's Losing Streak
Putin’s march into Ukraine last spring did not change the world. It barely even changed Europe. The EU hesitated to label the aggression as an act of war. And, although the United States and the EU agreed to impose sanctions on Moscow, the real debate in Western capitals was not how to respond, but rather, how to express resolve while doing as little as possible. And so, for Russian President Vlad
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Mark Leonard
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Europe's Shattered Dream of Order : Foreign Affairs
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変ぼうしたロシア社会と「ロシアの春」？ ―― 都市と地方の不満が一体化すれば
Moscow's Spy Game
The Sources of Russian Conduct
The Baltic Litmus Test: Revealing Russia's True Colors