2022 Alaska gubernatorial election

Republican Party

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Advanced to general

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Mike Dunleavy, incumbent governor^[5]
- Running mate: Nancy Dahlstrom, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Corrections and former state representative^[6]
- Previous running mate: Kevin Meyer, incumbent lieutenant governor^[5] (withdrew December 28, 2021)^[7]
Charlie Pierce, Mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough^[8]
- Running mate: Edie Grunwald, chair of the Alaska Parole Board and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018^[9]^[a]

Eliminated in primary

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David Haeg, hunting guide^[11]
- Waynette Coleman, nurse^[11]
Christopher Kurka, state representative^[12]
- Running mate: Paul Hueper, activist^[13]^[14]
Bruce Walden, veteran and author^[15]
- Running mate: Tanya Lange, social service worker^[15]

Les Gara, former state representative^[17]
- Running mate: Jessica Cook, teacher^[15]

Declined

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Mike Navarre, former mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough and former state representative (endorsed Walker)^[18]

Libertarian Party

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Eliminated in primary

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William S. "Billy" Toien, nominee for governor in 2010 and 2018^[19]
- Running mate: Shirley Rainbolt^[19]

Alaskan Independence Party

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Eliminated in primary

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John Howe, machinist and nominee for U.S. Senatein2020^[11]
- Running mate: Shellie Wyatt^[11]

Independents

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Advanced to general

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Bill Walker, former governor^[19]
- Running mate: Heidi Drygas, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development^[19]

Eliminated in primary

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William Nemec, former Denali Borough Assembly member^[11]
- Running mate: Ronnie Ostrem^[11]

Declined

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Alyse Galvin, public education advocate and candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional districtin2018 and 2020^[20] (running for state house)^[21]
Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020^[20]^[18] (ran for U.S. House)

Polling

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Dunleavy (R)	Les Gara (D)	Charlie Pierce (R)	Bill Walker (I)	Other	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	July 20–25, 2022	1,253 (LV)	± 3.0%	41%	22%	5%	23%	9%^[c]	–
Lake Research Partners (D)^[A]	May 5–11, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	40%	24%	5%	18%	3%	10%

Results

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Primary election results^[11]^[22]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Dunleavy (incumbent) Nancy Dahlstrom	76,534	40.43
	Democratic	Les Gara Jessica Cook	43,660	23.06
	Independent	Bill Walker Heidi Drygas	43,111	22.77
	Republican	Charlie Pierce Edie Grunwald	12,458	6.58
	Republican	Christopher Kurka Paul Hueper	7,307	3.86
	Independence	John Howe Shellie Wyatt	1,702	0.90
	Republican	Bruce Walden Tanya Lange	1,661	0.88
	Libertarian	William S. Toien Shirley Rainbolt	1,381	0.73
	Republican	David Haeg Waynette Coleman	1,139	0.60
	Independent	William Nemec Ronnie Ostrem	347	0.18
Total votes			188,626	100.00

Predictions

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Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[23]	Likely R	July 26, 2022
Inside Elections^[24]	Likely R	July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[25]	Likely R	June 29, 2022
Politico^[26]	Likely R	April 1, 2022
RCP^[27]	Likely R	January 10, 2022
Fox News^[28]	Likely R	May 12, 2022
538^[29]	Likely R	August 25, 2022
Elections Daily^[30]	Likely R	November 7, 2022

Debates

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2022 Alaska gubernatorial debates
No.	Date	Host	Link	Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn				Mike Dunleavy	Bill Walker	Les Gara	Charlie Pierce
1	October 11, 2022	Civic and Convention Center	Youtube	P	P	P	P

Endorsements

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Mike Dunleavy (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[31]

U.S. senators

Dan Sullivan, U.S. senator from Alaska (2015–present)^[18]

Statewide officials

Sarah Palin, 9th governor of Alaska (2006–2009), candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional districtin2022 and Republican nominee for Vice Presidentin2008^[32]
Kelly Tshibaka, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration (2019–2021) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2022^[32]

State legislators

Jay Ramras, former state representative (2005–2011)^[18]

Local officials

Dave Bronson, MayorofAnchorage (2021–present)^[18]
Dan Sullivan, former mayorofAnchorage (2009–2015)^[18]

Organizations

Alaska Republican Party (co-endorsed with Pierce)^[33]
NRA Political Victory Fund^[34]^[35]

Les Gara (D)

Statewide officials

Jane Angvik, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce and Economic Development and former Anchorage Assembly member (1979–1985)^[36]
Tony Knowles, former governor of Alaska (1994–2002)^[18]

State legislators

Vic Fischer, former state senator and drafter of the Alaska Constitution^[18]

Organizations

Planned Parenthood^[37]

Christopher Kurka (R)

Individuals

Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge (2002–2004) and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2016^[12]

Charlie Pierce (R)

State legislators

Lora Reinbold, state senator (2019–present) and state representative (2013–2019)^[38]

Organizations

Alaska Republican Party (co-endorsed with Dunleavy)^[33]

Bill Walker (I)

State legislators

Cathy Giessel, former president of the Alaska Senate (Republican)^[18]
Grier Hopkins, state representative (Democratic)^[39]
Andy Josephson, state representative (2017–present) (Democratic)^[18]
Beth Kerttula, former state representative (1999–2014) (Democratic)^[18]
Ivy Spohnholz, state representative (Democratic)^[39]
Adam Wool, state representative (Democratic)^[39]

Local officials

Bruce Botelho, former mayor of Juneau (2003–2012) and former Alaska Attorney General (1988–1991) (Democratic)^[40]
Santa Claus, mayor pro tem of North Pole and candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in the 2022 special election (Independent)^[41]
Mike Navarre, former Mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough (1996–1999, 2011–2017) and former state representative (1985–1996) (Democratic)^[18]

Individuals

Vince Beltrami, former president of the AFL–CIO^[18]

Labor unions

Alaska AFL–CIO^[42]
American Federation of Teachers - Alaska^[43]
National Education Association - Alaska^[43]

Organizations

Sealaska Corporation

Declined to endorse

State legislators

Rick Halford, former president of the Alaska Senate (Republican)^[18]

Individuals

Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, Democratic-endorsed nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, and withdrawn candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in the 2022 special and regular elections (Independent)^[20]^[18]

Polling

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	RCV count	Mike Dunleavy (R)	Les Gara (D)	Charlie Pierce (R)	Bill Walker (I)	Undecided / Not Ranked
Dittman Research	October 21–25, 2022	403 (LV)	–	1	47%	25%	4%	23%	—
Dittman Research	October 21–25, 2022	403 (LV)	–	2	51%	25%	Elim	24%	—
Alaska Survey Research	September 25–27, 2022	1,282 (LV)	± 3.0%
				1	43%	28%	7%	21%	—
				2	48%	28%	Elim	23%	—
				3	53%	47%	Elim	Elim	—
				3*^[d]	52%	Elim	Elim	48%	—
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[B]	September 6–11, 2022	1,050 (LV)	^[e]	N/A^[f]	45%	24%	6%	17%	8% U
				1	49%	26%	7%	19%	8% NR
				2	54%	26%	Elim^[g]	20%	10% NR
				3	59%	41%	Elim	Elim^[h]	13% NR
Alaska Survey Research	July 2–5, 2022	1,201 (LV)	± 2.9%	1	44%	26%	11%	20%	—
Alaska Survey Research	July 2–5, 2022	1,201 (LV)	± 2.9%	2	51%	26%	Elim	23%	—

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	RCV count	Mike Dunleavy (R)	Les Gara (D)	Natasha von Imhof (R)	Bill Walker (I)	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	October 22–27, 2021	969 (RV)	± 3.2%	1	43%	22%	8%	28%	—
				2	46%	24%	Elim	30%	—
				3	49%	Elim	Elim	51%	—

Mike Dunleavy vs. Les Gara

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Dunleavy (R)	Les Gara (D)	Undecided
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine^[C]	July 22–24, 2022	613 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	45%	—

Mike Dunleavy vs. Bill Walker

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Dunleavy (R)	Bill Walker (I)	Undecided
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine^[C]	July 22–24, 2022	613 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	50%	—

Results

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2022 Alaska gubernatorial election^[44]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mike Dunleavy (incumbent) Nancy Dahlstrom	132,632	50.29%	−1.15%
	Democratic	Les Gara Jessica Cook	63,851	24.21%	−20.20%
	Independent	Bill Walker Heidi Drygas	54,668	20.73%	+18.70%
	Republican	Charlie Pierce Edie Grunwald (withdrew)^[a]	11,817	4.48%	N/A
	Write-in		784	0.30%	+0.09%
Total votes			263,752	100.0%
Turnout			266,943	44.40%	−5.43%
Registered electors			601,161
	Republican hold

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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Anchorage
Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
Bristol Bay Borough (largest city: Naknek)
Lake & Peninsula Borough (largest city: Newhalen)
Aleutians West Census Area (largest city: Unalaska)
Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)
Bethel Census Area (largest city: Bethel)
Dilingham Census Area (largest city: Dilingham)
North Slope Borough (largest city: Utqiaġvik)
Northwest Arctic Borough (largest city: Kotzebue)
Kusilvak Census Area (largest city: Hooper Bay)
Nome Census Area (largest city: Nome)
Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest city: Fort Yukon)
Prince of Wales–Hyder Census Area (largest city: Craig)
Petersburg

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent

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Juneau
Sitka
Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)
Haines Borough (largest census-designated place: Haines)
Yakutat

^ ^a ^b Suspended her campaign and endorsed Dunleavy on October 25, 2022 after allegations of sexual harassment against Pierce but remained on the ballot.^[10]

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

^ Howe and Kurka with 3%; Toien with 2%; Haeg with 1%; Nemec and Walden with 0%

^ Hypothetical scenario with Dunleavy and Walker as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences

^ The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 840 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.3%.

^ Standard polling question.

^ Pierce eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 70% to Dunleavy, 7% to Walker, 3% to Gara, and 20% not ranked further.

^ Walker eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 67% to Gara, 13% to Dunleavy, and 20% not ranked further.

Partisan clients

^ This poll was sponsored by Gara's campaign

^ Poll sponsored by AARP

^ ^a ^b This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign

^ Bohrer, Becky (November 25, 2022). "Mike Dunleavy is 1st Alaska governor reelected since '98". Associated Press. Retrieved November 25, 2022.

^ "Alaska Division of Elections, Primary Election Info". Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. Retrieved December 10, 2021.

^ Kitchenman, Andrew (November 18, 2020). "Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2". KTOO (FM). Archived from the original on November 18, 2020. Retrieved November 18, 2020.

^ "Live Alaska Governor Election Results 2022 – NBC News". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved October 3, 2022.

^ ^a ^b Brooks, James (August 13, 2021). "Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 14, 2021.

^ "Alaska Governor Picks Nancy Dahlstrom as Running Mate". US News. AP. May 23, 2022. Retrieved February 14, 2023.

^ "Alaska Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer will not run for reelection in 2022". Anchorage Daily News.

^ "Borough mayor files bid for Alaska governor". KDLL Public Radio for the Central Kenai Peninsula. January 21, 2022.

^ Poux, Sabine; Soldotna, KDLL- (March 9, 2022). "Charlie Pierce picks Edie Grunwald as running mate in Alaska governor's race".

^ Maguire, Sean (October 25, 2022). "Edie Grunwald suspends campaign as lieutenant governor candidate over Pierce sexual harassment allegations". Retrieved October 26, 2022.

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g "2022 Primary Candidate List". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved June 1, 2022.

^ ^a ^b Kitchenman, Andrew (November 29, 2021). "Conservative Wasilla Rep. Kurka launches bid for Alaska governor". Alaska Public Media. Archived from the original on November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.

^ "Republican candidate for Alaska governor Christopher Kurka chooses Homer man as running mate". Anchorage Daily News.

^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Online Guide to Alaska Elections, Candidates & Politics". Politics1.

^ ^a ^b ^c "Democratic governor candidate Les Gara picks teacher from Palmer as his running mate". Anchorage Daily News.

^ Brooks, James (February 15, 2022). "Anchorage Sen. Natasha von Imhof will not run for reelection or other office in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved June 16, 2022.

^ Kitchenman, Andrew (August 20, 2021). "Former state Rep. Les Gara becomes fourth candidate for Alaska's governor". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved August 20, 2021.

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o "Gara and Walker begin 2022 campaigns for governor to unseat Dunleavy". Anchorage Daily News.

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Brooks, James (August 17, 2021). "Former Alaska Gov. Bill Walker will run again for governor in 2022 as an independent". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 17, 2021.

^ ^a ^b ^c Coleman, J. Miles (March 11, 2021). "2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline – Sabato's Crystal Ball".

^ "Former US House candidate Alyse Galvin to run for Alaska Legislature". December 28, 2021.

^ "August 16, 2022 Primary Election Summary Report - OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. September 2, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022.

^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.

^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.

^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

^ "Alaska Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.

^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.

^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.

^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.

^ Mizelle, Shawna (December 28, 2021). "Trump endorses Alaska Gov. Dunleavy for reelection -- as long as he doesn't back Sen. Murkowski in 2022". CNN. Retrieved December 29, 2021.

^ ^a ^b "Trump to rally for Palin, Dunleavy, Tshibaka in Alaska". AP. June 29, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.

^ ^a ^b "Charlie Pierce recieves [sic] Republican endorsement in governor's race". KINY. April 25, 2022. Retrieved April 27, 2022.

^ "Alaska Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

^ "NRA-PVF Endorses Gov. Dunleavy in Alaska Primary". nrapvf.org. July 19, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.

^ "Notes from the trail: Mark Begich endorses Chris Constant for Congress, Les Gara has a barbecue with Vic Fischer". May 19, 2022.

^ "Notes from the trail: Why didn't Palin cheer for Mayor Dave Bronson during the Trump Save America rally?". July 12, 2022.

^ "Sen. Lora Reinbold endorses Charlie Pierce for governor". July 25, 2022.

^ ^a ^b ^c Hopkins, Grier; Josephson, Andy; Spohnholz, Ivy; Wool, Adam (August 9, 2022). "OPINION: Walker has the leadership Alaska needs". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 10, 2022.

^ "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs". July 23, 2022.

^ ""I'm pleased to endorse Bill and Heidi. They are trustworthy, hardworking, well-informed, experienced, and collaborative, and aim to put all Alaskans, including children and First Peoples, on a path to fiscal stability, improved quality of life, and a bright future." ~Santa Claus".

^ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola". Retrieved June 27, 2022.

^ ^a ^b "Bill Walker's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.

^ "State of Alaska | 2022 GENERAL ELECTION | Election Summary Report | November 8, 2022 | OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. November 18, 2022. Retrieved November 22, 2022.

2022 Alaska gubernatorial election

Contents

Primary election

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Declined

Libertarian Party

Eliminated in primary

Alaskan Independence Party

Eliminated in primary

Independents

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Polling

Results

General election

Predictions

Debates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

Notes

References

External links

Languages