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2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election





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For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout38.61% Decrease[1] 15.85 pp
 
Nominee Bill Lee Jason Martin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,129,390 572,818
Percentage 64.91% 32.92%

Lee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Martin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No data

Governor before election

Bill Lee
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Lee
Republican

The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Martin winning their respective parties' nominations.[2][3]

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson counties. This was the first time in state history that Davidson County did not vote for the winner in a gubernatorial re-election since Tennessee began allowing governors to serve for two consecutive terms.

Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it has been in nearly a decade, with only 38.6% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. This turnout was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well.

Bill Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Disqualified

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Bill Lee
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

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Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 494,362 100.00%
Total votes 494,362 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Endorsements

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J. B. Smiley Jr.
U.S. representatives
Local officials

Results

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Results by county:
  Martin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Smiley
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Atwater
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Martin 101,552 39.39%
Democratic J.B. Smiley Jr. 100,062 38.81%
Democratic Carnita Atwater 56,227 21.81%
Total votes 257,841 100.00%

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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Disqualified

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[27] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R June 29, 2022
Politico[29] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[30] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[31] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[32] Solid R August 4, 2022
Elections Daily[33] Safe R November 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Bill Lee (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Jason Martin (D)
Labor unions

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Bill
Lee (R) 		Jason
Martin (D) 		Other Undecided
RABA Research July 21–31, 2022 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 28% 6% 14%
Hypothetical polling
Bill Lee vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Bill
Lee (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Vanderbilt University April 26 – May 14, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 39% 12%

Results

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  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
    •  
     
    2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election[40]
    Party Candidate Votes % ±%
    Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 1,129,390 64.91% +5.55
    Democratic Jason Martin 572,818 32.92% −5.63
    Independent John Gentry 15,395 0.89% N/A
    Independent Constance Every 10,277 0.59% N/A
    Independent Deborah Rouse 3,772 0.22% N/A
    Independent Rick Tyler 2,380 0.14% N/A
    Independent Charles Van Morgan 1,862 0.11% N/A
    Independent Basil Marceaux 1,568 0.09% N/A
    Independent Alfred O'Neil 1,216 0.07% N/A
    Independent Michael Scantland 815 0.05% N/A
    Write-In Lemichael D. Wilson 386 0.02% N/A
    Write-In Charles Carney 2 0.00% N/A
    Write-In Stephen C. Maxwell 1 0.00% N/A
    Write-In Kameron Parker Scott 0 0.00% N/A
    Total votes 1,739,882 100.00%
    Turnout 1,756,397 38.61% −15.85%
    Registered electors 4,549,183
    Republican hold

    By county

    edit

    By county

    County[41] Bill Lee
    Republican    		 Jason Martin
    Democratic    		 Other votes Total
    votes
    % # % # % #
    Anderson 65.80% 14,003 32.11% 6,832 2.09% 445 21,280
    Bedford 79.30% 8,401 18.27% 1,936 2.43% 257 10,594
    Benton 79.14% 3,247 18.43% 756 2.43% 100 4,103
    Bledsoe 86.06% 2,933 12.27% 418 1.67% 57 3,408
    Blount 74.41% 29,470 23.52% 9,316 2.07% 820 39,606
    Bradley 81.97% 20,655 16.26% 4,096 1.77% 447 25,198
    Campbell 81.96% 6,118 15.85% 1,197 2.19% 165 7,550
    Cannon 80.74% 3,082 17.50% 668 1.76% 67 3,817
    Carroll 80.23% 5,733 17.74% 1,268 2.03% 145 7,146
    Carter 80.10% 11,602 17.78% 2,575 2.12% 307 14,484
    Cheatham 71.27% 8,309 26.92% 3,138 1.81% 211 11,658
    Chester 83.54% 3,756 13.83% 622 2.62% 118 4,496
    Claiborne 83.99% 5,652 14.18% 954 1.83% 123 6,729
    Clay 80.03% 1,451 16.93% 307 3.04% 55 1,813
    Cocke 81.17% 6,618 15.95% 1,300 2.88% 235 8,153
    Coffee 77.13% 10,529 20.59% 2,811 2.28% 311 13,651
    Crockett 82.30% 2,734 16.23% 539 1.48% 49 3,322
    Cumberland 82.38% 17,864 16.16% 3,505 1.46% 315 21,684
    Davidson 34.24% 60,900 63.38% 112,708 2.38% 4,229 177,837
    Decatur 80.65% 2,713 17.72% 596 1.63% 55 3,364
    DeKalb 80.07% 4,118 17.71% 911 2.22% 114 5,143
    Dickson 73.73% 9,970 24.07% 3,255 2.20% 297 13,522
    Dyer 80.61% 6,791 16.81% 1,416 2.58% 217 8,424
    Fayette 75.93% 10,868 22.44% 3,212 1.63% 234 14,314
    Fentress 86.69% 4,559 11.12% 585 2.19% 115 5,259
    Franklin 75.05% 8,643 22.93% 2,641 2.02% 232 11,516
    Gibson 76.61% 9,640 21.21% 2,669 2.18% 274 12,583
    Giles 76.23% 5,832 20.68% 1,582 3.09% 237 7,651
    Grainger 85.28% 4,588 13.12% 706 1.60% 86 5,380
    Greene 79.26% 13,574 17.83% 3,054 2.91% 498 16,951
    Grundy 80.82% 2,735 15.90% 538 3.28% 111 3,384
    Hamblen 78.86% 10,335 19.01% 2,492 2.13% 279 13,126
    Hamilton 60.02% 60,647 38.46% 38,862 1.52% 1,542 101,051
    Hancock 84.60% 1,110 12.58% 165 2.82% 37 1,312
    Hardeman 62.41% 3,486 35.50% 1,983 2.09% 117 5,586
    Hardin 85.93% 5,606 12.45% 812 1.62% 106 6,524
    Hawkins 82.42% 11,669 15.56% 2,203 2.02% 286 14,158
    Haywood 51.14% 2,011 47.30% 1,860 1.56% 61 3,932
    Henderson 85.61% 5,551 12.68% 822 1.71% 111 6,484
    Henry 78.52% 6,674 18.87% 1,604 2.61% 222 8,500
    Hickman 78.76% 4,577 19.41% 1,128 1.83% 106 5,811
    Houston 74.25% 1,837 23.00% 569 2.75% 68 2,474
    Humphreys 74.63% 3,344 22.85% 1,024 2.52% 113 4,481
    Jackson 75.80% 2,415 19.99% 637 4.21% 134 3,186
    Jefferson 81.52% 10,806 15.90% 2,107 2.58% 342 13,255
    Johnson 85.05% 4,415 13.25% 688 1.70% 88 5,191
    Knox 59.95% 76,880 38.32% 49,140 1.73% 2,222 128,242
    Lake 78.69% 912 17.69% 205 3.62% 42 1,159
    Lauderdale 69.81% 3,346 27.56% 1,321 2.63% 126 4,793
    Lawrence 81.96% 8,276 15.34% 1,549 2.70% 272 10,097
    Lewis 80.09% 2,723 18.03% 613 1.88% 64 3,400
    Lincoln 81.89% 7,452 15.45% 1,406 2.66% 242 9,100
    Loudon 78.15% 15,285 19.43% 3,801 2.42% 473 19,559
    Macon 85.13% 4,140 12.03% 585 2.84% 138 4,863
    Madison 63.77% 15,357 34.24% 8,246 1.99% 479 24,082
    Marion 77.23% 5,947 20.91% 1,610 1.86% 143 7,700
    Marshall 75.99% 6,734 21.00% 1,861 3.01% 267 8,862
    Maury 72.26% 22,198 25.75% 7,910 1.99% 610 30,718
    McMinn 80.35% 10,371 14.39% 1,858 5.26% 679 12,908
    McNairy 83.06% 5,864 14.67% 1,036 2.27% 160 7,060
    Meigs 82.21% 2,703 14.93% 491 2.86% 94 3,288
    Monroe 82.93% 9,830 14.75% 1,748 2.23% 275 11,853
    Montgomery 60.22% 24,813 36.38% 14,988 3.40% 1,400 41,201
    Moore 83.33% 1,725 14.59% 302 2.08% 43 2,070
    Morgan 83.97% 3,844 13.63% 624 2.40% 110 4,578
    Obion 82.63% 6,418 15.10% 1,173 2.27% 176 7,767
    Overton 78.45% 4,805 18.73% 1,147 2.82% 173 6,125
    Perry 80.22% 1,549 17.56% 339 2.22% 43 1,931
    Pickett 80.06% 1,542 16.15% 311 3.79% 73 1,929
    Polk 83.32% 4,000 14.83% 712 1.85% 89 4,801
    Putnam 72.43% 14,217 24.84% 4,875 2.73% 536 19,628
    Rhea 85.11% 6,551 13.42% 1,033 1.47% 113 7,697
    Roane 75.23% 11,871 21.15% 3,337 3.62% 572 15,780
    Robertson 75.97% 14,066 21.86% 4,048 2.17% 400 18,514
    Rutherford 62.00% 46,575 35.87% 26,948 2.13% 1,604 75,127
    Scott 87.56% 3,394 10.19% 395 2.25% 87 3,876
    Sequatchie 83.92% 3,643 13.87% 602 2.21% 96 4,341
    Sevier 80.35% 18,314 16.75% 3,818 2.90% 660 22,792
    Shelby 43.20% 86,384 54.51% 108,995 2.29% 4,583 199,962
    Smith 79.52% 4,205 17.53% 927 2.95% 156 5,288
    Stewart 79.55% 3,167 17.76% 707 2.69% 107 3,981
    Sullivan 77.90% 32,897 20.78% 8,777 1.32% 556 42,230
    Sumner 71.57% 37,466 26.12% 13,672 2.31% 1,209 52,347
    Tipton 76.69% 11,487 20.58% 3,083 2.73% 409 14,979
    Trousdale 77.39% 1,660 20.93% 449 1.68% 36 2,145
    Unicoi 80.66% 4,238 17.32% 910 2.02% 106 5,254
    Union 82.90% 3,456 14.99% 625 2.11% 88 4,169
    Van Buren 82.35% 1,563 14.70% 279 2.95% 56 1,898
    Warren 75.29% 6,668 22.16% 1,963 2.55% 226 8,857
    Washington 69.42% 24,330 28.66% 10,046 1.92% 671 35,047
    Wayne 86.59% 3,094 11.14% 398 2.27% 81 3,573
    Weakley 78.94% 6,417 18.32% 1,489 2.74% 223 8,129
    White 82.41% 5,744 15.42% 1,075 2.17% 151 6,970
    Williamson 68.06% 58,132 30.57% 26,116 1.37% 1,169 85,417
    Wilson 70.69% 31,496 27.40% 12,208 1.91% 848 44,552
    Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

    See also

    edit

    Notes

    edit
    1. ^ a b Key:
      A – all adults
      RV – registered voters
      LV – likely voters
      V – unclear

    References

    edit
    1. ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2022". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  • ^ "2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  • ^ "Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race". AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  • ^ McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). "Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms". WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  • ^ Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). "Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing". 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
  • ^ Ebert, Joel. "'I love this job': Bill Lee says he'll seek a second term as Tennessee governor". The Tennessean. The USA Today Network. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
  • ^ a b c d "Tennessee Petitions". TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  • ^ "New PAC Targets Gov. Lee's Re-Election Bid". Across Tennessee, TN Patch. April 29, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  • ^ Rau, Nate (March 23, 2022). "Maury County Mayor Andy Ogles enters District 5 race". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  • ^ a b "Nikki Haley endorses Republican Governor". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2021.
  • ^ a b Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). "Redistricting looms in Texas". Politico. Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
  • ^ "August 4, 2022 Republican Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
  • ^ "Doctor eyes run for governor". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  • ^ "Sumner County doctor Jason Martin announces gubernatorial campaign | News | wsmv.com". www.wsmv.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
  • ^ "First Democratic Candidate for Governor". Tri-State Defender. April 8, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
  • ^ "Memphis City Councilman JB Smiley Jr. Enters Democratic Race for Tennessee Governor". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  • ^ "Democrats running for governor make it official". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
  • ^ ""I'm suspending my campaign for governor."". Facebook. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
  • ^ "New PAC targets Lee's re-election bid". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  • ^ "I'm so excited y'all, @jasonbmartin is exactly the leadership TN families need now!". Twitter. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  • ^ "Memphis congressman endorses in '22 gubernatorial primary". Nashville Post. October 13, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  • ^ "Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris endorses Smiley for governor". May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.
  • ^ "20-Plus Tennessee Leaders Announce Support for JB Smiley, Jr. for Governor". The Tennessee Tribune. October 21, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  • ^ "August 4, 2022 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
  • ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Petition Information". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
  • ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  • ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  • ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  • ^ "Tennessee Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  • ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  • ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  • ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  • ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  • ^ "NFIB Tennessee PAC Endorses Bill Lee for Second Term as Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 15, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  • ^ "Tennessee Endorsements". National Right to Life. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  • ^ "Tennessee Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  • ^ "Bill Lee's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  • ^ "General Election Endorsements". Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  • ^ "Tennessee - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  • ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results Governor, November 8, 2022, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
  • ^ "2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.
    • edit
    Official campaign websites

    Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Tennessee_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1230434005"
      



    Last edited on 22 June 2024, at 17:46  





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