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Contents

   



(Top)
 


1 Democratic primary  



1.1  Candidates  



1.1.1  Declared  





1.1.2  Withdrew  





1.1.3  Declined  







1.2  Endorsements  





1.3  Polling  





1.4  Results  







2 Republican primary  



2.1  Candidates  



2.1.1  Declared  





2.1.2  Withdrew  





2.1.3  Declined  







2.2  Endorsements  





2.3  Polling  





2.4  Results  







3 General election  



3.1  Endorsements  





3.2  Debates  





3.3  Fundraising  





3.4  Predictions  





3.5  Polling  





3.6  Results  



3.6.1  Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican  







3.7  By congressional district  







4 See also  





5 References  





6 External links  














2014 United States Senate election in Iowa






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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 


2014 United States Senate election in Iowa

← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
 
Nominee Joni Ernst Bruce Braley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 588,575 494,370
Percentage 52.10% 43.76%

Ernst:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Braley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%


U.S. senator before election

Tom Harkin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Joni Ernst
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Harkin did not run for reelection to a sixth term in office.[1]

U.S. Representative Bruce Braley was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; the Republicans nominated State Senator Joni Ernst in a June 3 primary election.[2] Douglas Butzier, who was the Libertarian nominee, died on October 14 in a single engine plane crash near Key West, Iowa. He was the pilot and the only person aboard the plane.[3][4][5] He still appeared on the ballot, alongside Independents Bob Quast, Ruth Smith and Rick Stewart. Ernst defeated Braley in the general election. This was the first open Senate seat in Iowa since 1974. Ernst was the first Republican to win this seat since Roger Jepsenin1978. Joni Ernst's inauguration marked the first time since 1985 where Republicans held both United States Senate seats from Iowa.

Democratic primary[edit]

Bruce Braley ultimately faced no opposition in his primary campaign and became the Democratic nominee on June 3, 2014.[6]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Bruce Braley
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
State legislators

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Anderson
Bruce
Braley
Kevin
McCarthy
Undecided
Harper Polling January 29, 2013 ? ? 3.83% 49.73% 3.83% 42.62%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bruce Braley 62,623 99.2%
Democratic Write-ins 504 0.8%
Total votes 63,127 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

The Republican primary was held on June 3, 2014. If no candidate won more than 35% of the vote, the nominee would have been chosen at a statewide convention. It would have been only the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. Having the nominee chosen by a convention led to fears that the increasingly powerful Ron Paul faction of the state party, led by Party Chairman A. J. Spiker, could have nominated an unelectable candidate.[21][22]

The convention was scheduled to be held on June 14 but was then moved to July 12. Republican leaders, including Governor Terry Branstad and U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, as well as four of the candidates for the nomination, criticized the move. Candidates Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Matthew Whitaker and David Young signed a letter to the Republican Party of Iowa asking them to move the convention date back, saying that "Essentially gifting [Bruce] Braley an additional 30 days to campaign in a vacuum, while reducing our nominee's time to raise funds and campaign as the general election candidate by an entire month – only serves to strengthen Braley's viability". Spiker responded that the move was necessary to accommodate the 27-day period that the Iowa Secretary of State's office requires to certify the results of the primary.[23] Spiker reiterated his position in September 2013, rejecting calls for a vote by the central committee to move the convention date. He said that nominating a candidate before the primary had been certified would break state law, "which outlines that a ballot vacancy does not exist until the canvass is completed and certified."[24]

Secretary of State Matt Schultz was highly critical of Spiker, saying that "no political party should use the excuse of the final date of the statewide canvass to determine the date of its special nominating convention. Furthermore, to state that it is necessary to hold a special nominating convention after the conclusion of the state canvass is not only misleading, it is false."[25] Following efforts by members of the central committee to call a special meeting to move the date back to June, Spiker agreed and a meeting was held on September 23.[26] The central committee voted 16–1 to move the convention date back to June 14.[27] Statewide Republican leaders and activists and members of the National Republican Senatorial Committee believe that the real reason for the attempt to delay the convention was to give the Ron Paul faction time to organize an insurgent effort to push through a candidate they support, which could have even been Spiker himself or State Party Co-chair David Fischer.[22] The infighting has been traced back to the failure of the NRSC and allies of Governor Branstad and Senator Grassley to recruit a "top-tier" candidate for the race.[22]

Ernst received widespread attention for a campaign ad she released in March 2014 where she employed a tongue-in-cheek comparison between her experience castrating pigs and her ability to cut "pork" in Congress.[28][29] Many found the ad to be humorous[30][31] and it was spoofed by late-night comedians including Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert,[32][33] while some found it to be in bad taste.[34][35] Before the ad aired, Ernst had struggled in fundraising,[36][37] and two polls of the Republican primary taken in February 2014 had shown her in second place, several points behind opponent Mark Jacobs.[38][39] After it aired, a Suffolk University poll in early April showed her with a narrow lead and a Loras College poll showed her essentially tied with Jacobs.[35][40][41][42] By May, she was being described by the media as the "strong front-runner".[43]

In May 2014, Roll Call reported that the Republican primary campaign had become a proxy for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio supporting Ernst, Rick Perry endorsing Whitaker and Rick Santorum backing Clovis.[44] Jacobs, who had no such high-profile endorsements, ran as the "outsider".[45]

Ultimately, Ernst won the primary with 56% of the vote, negating the need for a convention.

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Sam Clovis
Individuals
Organizations
Joni Ernst
National figures
Statewide politicians
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Mark Jacobs
Individuals
Matthew Whitaker
  • Robert Brownell, Polk County Supervisor[112]
  • Scott Cirksena, Mayor of Clive[112]
  • Creighton Cox, Urbandale City Councilman[112]
  • Greg Ganske, former U.S. Representative[112]
  • Bill Gustoff, Republican State Central Committee Member[112]
  • Chris Hagenow, state representative[112]
  • Kevin Koester, state representative[112]
  • Matt Mead, Governor of Wyoming[112]
  • John Mickelson, West Des Moines City Councilman[112]
  • Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and candidate for President in 2012[112]
  • Jim Peters, Mayor of Adel[112]
  • Ralph Watts, state representative[112]
  • Jack Whitver, state senator[112]
  • Polling[edit]

    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Sam
    Clovis
    Joni
    Ernst
    Mark
    Jacobs
    Paul
    Lunde
    Scott
    Schaben
    Matthew
    Whitaker
    Other Undecided
    Hill Research Consultants* February 12–13, 2014 300 ± 4% 6% 11% 22% 8% 3% 50%
    Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 283 ± 5.8% 8% 13% 20% 3% 3% 11% 42%
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 224 ± 6.55% 6.7% 25% 22.77% 1.34% 4.02% 40.18%
    Loras College April 7–8, 2014 600 ± 4% 7.3% 18.1% 18.8% 3.5% 4% 48.2%
    Harper Polling^ April 30 – May 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 14% 33% 23% 1% 3% 26%
    Loras College May 12–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 9.5% 30.8% 19.3% 2.3% 7.3% 30.7%
    Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 303 ± ? 14% 34% 18% 2% 1% 6% 26%
    Des Moines Register May 27–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 11% 36% 18% 2% 13% 16%
    Hypothetical polling
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Sam
    Clovis
    Joni
    Ernst
    Mark
    Jacobs
    Paul
    Lunde
    Scott
    Shaben
    Bob
    Vander Plaats
    Matthew
    Whitaker
    David
    Young
    Undecided
    The Polling Company November 22–23, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 8% 8% 5% 1% 1% 28% 7% 4% 39%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Drew
    Ivers
    Steve
    King
    Tom
    Latham
    Bill
    Northey
    Kim
    Reynolds
    Matt
    Schultz
    Bob
    Vander Plaats
    David
    Vaudt
    Brad
    Zaun
    Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 326 ± 5.4% 41% 22% 10% 9% 17%
    42% 23% 19% 15%
    50% 27% 23%
    Wenzel Strategies February 1–2, 2013 800 ± 3.44% 34.3% 18.7% 3.2% 9.8% 1.4% 9.2% 0.5% 19.5%
    42.9% 34.7% 22.4%
    Harper Polling January 29, 2012 4.52% 31.16% 26.13% 16.08% 6.03% 16.08%
    35.35% 21.72% 19.70% 3.03% 20.20%
    46% 29% 25%

    Results[edit]

    Results by county:
      Ernst
    •   30–40%
    •   40–50%
    •   50–60%
    •   60–70%
    •   70–80%
    •   80–90%
    •   90–100%
      Clovis
    •   40–50%
    •   50–60%
    •   60–70%
    •   70–80%
      Jacobs
    •   40–50%
    Republican primary results[20]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Joni Ernst 88,692 56.12%
    Republican Sam Clovis 28,434 17.99%
    Republican Mark Jacobs 26,582 16.82%
    Republican Matthew Whitaker 11,909 7.54%
    Republican Scott Schaben 2,270 1.44%
    Republican Write-ins 144 0.09%
    Total votes 158,031 100.00%

    General election[edit]

    Endorsements[edit]

    Bruce Braley (D)
    Federal politicians
    Statewide politicians
    Organizations
    State legislators

    Debates[edit]

    On August 29, Ernst and Braley announced their agreement to hold three televised debates in Davenport, Des Moines, and Sioux City, the first debate on September 28, the second on October 11, and the last on October 16.[114]

    Fundraising[edit]

    Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
    Bruce Braley (D) $9,918,362 $10,069,945 $707,302
    Joni Ernst (R) $9,206,690 $7,660,912 $2,244,366

    Predictions[edit]

    Source Ranking As of
    The Cook Political Report[115] Tossup November 3, 2014
    Sabato's Crystal Ball[116] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
    Rothenberg Political Report[117] Tossup November 3, 2014
    Real Clear Politics[118] Tossup November 3, 2014

    Polling[edit]

    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Joni
    Ernst (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,265 ± 2.8% 45% 48% 2%[119] 5%
    46% 49% 5%
    Quinnipiac University October 28 – November 2, 2014 778 ± 3.5% 47% 47% 2% 4%
    Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 617 ± ? 47% 48% 5%
    Iowa Poll October 28–31, 2014 701 ± 3.7% 44% 51% 1% 4%
    YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,112 ± 4.4% 43% 42% 3% 13%
    Fox News October 28–30, 2014 911 ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 8%
    Rasmussen Reports October 28–30, 2014 990 ± 3% 47% 48% 3% 3%
    CNN/ORC October 27–30, 2014 647 LV ± 4% 47% 49% 4%
    887 RV ± 3.5% 49% 43% 7%
    Reuters/Ipsos October 23–29, 2014 1,129 ± 3.3% 45% 45% 4% 7%
    Quinnipiac October 22–27, 2014 817 ± 3.4% 45% 49% 2% 5%
    Loras College October 21–24, 2014 1,121 ± 2.93% 45% 44% 2% 8%
    CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,322 ± 3% 44% 44% 1% 11%
    NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014 772 LV ± 3.5% 46% 49% 1% 4%
    1,052 RV ± 3% 46% 46% 2% 6%
    Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 964 ± 3% 43% 49% 8%
    Monmouth University October 18–21, 2014 423 ± 4.8% 46% 47% 5% 2%
    Quinnipiac University October 15–21, 2014 964 ± 3.2% 46% 48% 3% 4%
    Public Policy Polling October 15–16, 2014 714 ± ?% 48% 47% 5%
    Suffolk University October 11–14, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43% 47% 2%[120] 7%
    Quinnipiac University October 8–13, 2014 967 ± 3.2% 45% 47% 3% 5%
    Rasmussen Reports October 8–10, 2014 957 ± 3% 45% 48% 1% 5%
    Iowa Poll October 3–8, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 46% 47% 3% 4%
    Morey Group October 4–7, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 39% 38% 2% 21%
    Magellan October 3, 2014 1,299 ± 2.8% 41% 50% 9%
    Loras College October 1–3, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 42% 4% 12%
    NBC News/Marist September 27 – October 1, 2014 778 LV ± 3.5% 44% 46% 1% 9%
    1,093 RV ± 3% 45% 44% 1% 11%
    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[permanent dead link] September 25 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 2.09% 44% 45% 11%
    CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,359 ± 2% 44% 43% 1% 12%
    Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 522 ± 4% 41% 50% 10%
    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner September 25–30, 2014 800 ± 3.46% 47% 46% 7%
    Public Policy Polling September 25–28, 2014 1,192 ± 2.8% 42% 44% 4%[121] 10%
    43% 45% 12%
    Harstad Research September 21–25, 2014 809 ± ? 42% 42% 16%
    Iowa Poll September 21–24, 2014 546 ± 4.2% 38% 44% 6%[122] 12%
    Rasmussen Reports September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 43% 4% 14%
    Fox News September 14–16, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 41% 6% 12%
    Quinnipiac University September 10–15, 2014 1,167 ± 2.9% 44% 50% 1% 4%
    CNN/ORC September 8–10, 2014 608 LV ± 4% 49% 48% 1% 2%
    904 RV ± 3.5% 50% 42% 7%
    Loras College September 2–5, 2014 1,200 ± 2.82% 45% 41% 14%
    CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,764 ± 3% 44% 42% 2% 13%
    Public Policy Polling August 28–30, 2014 816 ± 3.4% 43% 45% 12%
    Suffolk August 23–26, 2014 500 ± 4% 40% 40% 5%[123] 15%
    Public Policy Polling August 22–24, 2014 915 ± 3.2% 41% 40% 5%[124] 14%
    42% 42% 16%
    Rasmussen Reports August 11–12, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 43% 6% 8%
    CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 2,056 ± 2.7% 45% 46% 2% 8%
    Gravis Marketing July 17–18, 2014 1,179 ± 3% 44% 43% 13%
    NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,599 ± 2.5% 43% 43% 1% 14%
    Quinnipiac University June 12–16, 2014 1,277 ± 2.7% 44% 40% 16%
    Vox Populi Polling June 4–5, 2014 665 ± 3.8% 44% 49% 7%
    Loras College June 4–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 48% 10%
    Rasmussen Reports June 4–5, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 45% 3% 9%
    Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 45% 39% 16%
    Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 44% 40% 16%
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 30% 33%
    Rasmussen Reports March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 37% 23%
    Quinnipiac University Archived March 13, 2014, at the Wayback Machine March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 29% 1% 27%
    Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 41% 35% 23%
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 44% 38% 1% 17%
    Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 42% 36% 22%
    Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 45% 33% 22%
    Hypothetical polling
    with Braley
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Mark
    Jacobs (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 42% 36% 22%
    Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43% 42% 15%
    Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 808 ± 3.45% 40% 41% 7% 12%
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 37% 31% 33%
    Rasmussen Reports March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 38% 21%
    Quinnipiac University Archived March 13, 2014, at the Wayback Machine March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 40% 31% 1% 28%
    Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 41% 35% 24%
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 46% 37% 1% 16%
    Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 37% 22%
    Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 44% 32% 24%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Scott
    Schaben (R)
    Other Undecided
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 25% 38%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Matthew
    Whitaker (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 43% 36% 21%
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 27% 35%
    Rasmussen Reports March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 36% 24%
    Quinnipiac University Archived March 13, 2014, at the Wayback Machine March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 30% 1% 26%
    Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 40% 34% 26%
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 43% 40% 1% 17%
    Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 38% 22%
    Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 43% 34% 23%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Steve
    King (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 38% 13%
    Harper Polling January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 39% 34% 27%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Sam
    Clovis (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 43% 34% 23%
    Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 25% 36%
    Rasmussen Reports March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 31% 25%
    Quinnipiac University Archived March 13, 2014, at the Wayback Machine March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 27% 1% 29%
    Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 42% 34% 24%
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 45% 34% 1% 20%
    Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 40% 35% 25%
    Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 43% 31% 25%
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 38% 13%
    Harper Polling January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 39% 34% 27%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Tom
    Latham (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 44% 41% 15%
    Harper Polling January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 33% 36% 31%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Kim
    Reynolds (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 44% 37% 19%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    Bob
    Vander Plaats (R)
    Other Undecided
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 46% 40% 1% 14%
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 51% 33% 16%
    Harper Polling January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 41% 26% 32%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Bruce
    Braley (D)
    David
    Young (R)
    Other Undecided
    Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2013, at the Wayback Machine December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 44% 36% 1% 19%
    Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 35% 24%
    Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 45% 32% 24%
    with Culver
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Chet
    Culver (D)
    Steve
    King (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 48% 41% 11%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Chet
    Culver (D)
    Tom
    Latham (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 41% 45% 13%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Chet
    Culver (D)
    Kim
    Reynolds (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 42% 41% 17%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Chet
    Culver (D)
    Bob
    Vander Plaats (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 50% 36% 14%
    with Harkin
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Harkin (D)
    Terry
    Branstad (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 46% 41% 12%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Harkin (D)
    Steve
    King (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 48% 37% 15%
    Public Policy Polling October 7–10, 2011 749 ± 3.6% 49% 42% 9%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Harkin (D)
    Tom
    Latham (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 46% 37% 17%
    Public Policy Polling October 7–10, 2011 749 ± 3.6% 45% 42% 13%
    with Loebsack
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Dave
    Loebsack (D)
    Steve
    King (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 47% 40% 13%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Dave
    Loebsack (D)
    Tom
    Latham (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 40% 43% 17%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Dave
    Loebsack (D)
    Kim
    Reynolds (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 41% 39% 20%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Dave
    Loebsack (D)
    Bob
    Vander Plaats (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 34% 17%
    with Vilsack
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Vilsack (D)
    Steve
    King (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 39% 11%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Vilsack (D)
    Tom
    Latham (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 46% 42% 12%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Vilsack (D)
    Kim
    Reynolds (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 46% 38% 16%
    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Tom
    Vilsack (D)
    Bob
    Vander Plaats (R)
    Other Undecided
    Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 52% 35% 14%

    Results[edit]

    United States Senate election in Iowa, 2014[125]
    Party Candidate Votes % ±%
    Republican Joni Ernst 588,575 52.10% +14.84%
    Democratic Bruce Braley 494,370 43.76% -18.90%
    Independent Rick Stewart 26,815 2.37% N/A
    Libertarian Douglas Butzier 8,232 0.73% N/A
    Independent Bob Quast 5,873 0.52% N/A
    Independent Ruth Smith 4,724 0.42% N/A
    Write-in 1,111 0.10% +0.02%
    Total votes 1,129,700 100.00% N/A
    Republican gain from Democratic

    Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]

  • Adams (Largest city: Corning)
  • Allamakee (Largest city: Waukon)
  • Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
  • Audubon (Largest city: Audubon)
  • Benton (largest city: Vinton)
  • Boone (largest city: Boone)
  • Bremer (Largest city: Waverly)
  • Buchanan (largest city: Independence)
  • Buena Vista (largest city: Storm Lake)
  • Butler (Largest city: Parkersburg)
  • Calhoun (Largest city: Rockwell City)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Carroll)
  • Cass (largest city: Atlantic)
  • Cedar (largest city: Tipton)
  • Cherokee (Largest city: Cherokee)
  • Chickasaw (largest city: New Hampton)
  • Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
  • Clay (Largest city: Spencer)
  • Clayton (largest city: Guttenberg)
  • Crawford (Largest city: Denison)
  • Dallas (Largest city: Waukee)
  • Davis (Largest city: Bloomfield)
  • Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
  • Delaware (Largest city: Manchester)
  • Dickinson (Largest city: Spirit Lake)
  • Emmet (Largest city: Estherville)
  • Fayette (Largest city: Oelwein)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Hampton)
  • Fremont (largest city: Sidney)
  • Greene (largest city: Jefferson)
  • Grundy (largest city: Grundy Center)
  • Guthrie (Largest city: Guthrie Center)
  • Hamilton (Largest city: Webster City)
  • Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
  • Hardin (Largest city: Iowa Falls)
  • Harrison (largest city: Missouri Valley)
  • Henry (Largest city: Mount Pleasant)
  • Humboldt (largest city: Humboldt)
  • Ida (largest city: Ida Grove)
  • Iowa (Largest city: Williamsburg)
  • Jackson (largest city: Maquoketa)
  • Jasper (Largest city: Newton)
  • Jones (largest city: Anamosa)
  • Keokuk (Largest city: Sigourney)
  • Kossuth (Largest city: Algona)
  • Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
  • Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
  • Madison (Largest city: Winterset)
  • Mahaska (largest city: Oskaloosa)
  • Marion (largest city: Pella)
  • Marshall (Largest city: Marshalltown)
  • Mills (largest city: Glenwood)
  • Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
  • Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
  • Monroe (Largest city: Albia)
  • Montgomery (largest city: Red Oak)
  • Muscatine (largest city: Muscatine)
  • Palo Alto (Largest city: Emmetsburg)
  • Plymouth (largest city: Le Mars)
  • Pocahontas (Largest city: Pocahontas)
  • Pottawattamie (largest city: Council Bluffs)
  • Poweshiek (Largest city: Grinnell)
  • Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
  • Sac (largest city: Sac City)
  • Scott (largest city: Davenport)
  • Shelby (largest city: Harlan)
  • Tama (largest city: Tama)
  • Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
  • Union (Largest city: Creston)
  • Van Buren (Largest city: Keosauqua)
  • Wapello (largest city: Ottumwa)
  • Warren (Largest city: Indianola)
  • Washington (Largest city: Washington)
  • Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
  • Webster (largest city: Fort Dodge)
  • Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
  • Winneshiek (Largest city: Decorah)
  • Woodbury (Largest city: Sioux City)
  • Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
  • By congressional district[edit]

    Ernst won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[126]

    District Ernst Braley Representative
    1st 48.3% 47.87% Rod Blum
    2nd 48.91% 47.06% Dave Loebsack
    3rd 52.19% 43.89% David Young
    4th 59.43% 36.17% Steve King

    See also[edit]

    References[edit]

    1. ^ a b Ed O'Keefe (January 26, 2013). "Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) won't seek reelection". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Wins GOP Primary In Iowa Senate Race". Huffington Post. June 3, 2014.
  • ^ "Wife confirms man killed in plane crash is Senate candidate". kcci.com. October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 14, 2014.
  • ^ "US Senate Candidate Killed in Eastern Iowa Plane Crash". whotv.com. October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 14, 2014.
  • ^ "Pilot Killed In Eastern Iowa Plane Crash". woitv.com. October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 14, 2014.
  • ^ "Bruce Braley Wins Democratic Primary In Iowa Senate Race". Huffington Post. June 3, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  • ^ Blake, Aaron (February 7, 2013). "Iowa Rep. Bruce Braley to run for Senate". The Fix. Retrieved February 7, 2013.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (March 14, 2014). "Candidates for federal, statewide offices". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  • ^ a b c "Braley wins endorsement of ex-Gov. Chet Culver". Newton Daily News. July 2, 2013. Retrieved October 17, 2013.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (June 4, 2013). "Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office". The Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on June 20, 2013. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  • ^ Tibbetts, Ed (January 29, 2013). "Loesback won't seek U.S. Senate seat". Globe Gazette. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  • ^ Petroski, William (January 28, 2013). "Iowa House Democratic Leader McCarthy "absolutely" won't seek higher office". The Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on April 8, 2013. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (February 7, 2013). "Tom Vilsack is Iowans' Senate pick". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 8, 2013.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (February 15, 2013). "BREAKING: Vilsack will not seek U.S. Senate seat in 2014". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on April 8, 2013. Retrieved February 15, 2013.
  • ^ a b c d "IA-Sen: Loebsack endorses Braley (updated with Boswell)". Bleeding Heartland. February 16, 2013. Archived from the original on June 20, 2013. Retrieved April 10, 2013.
  • ^ a b Noble, Jason (October 24, 2014). "Bill Clinton returning to Iowa to campaign for Bruce Braley". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
  • ^ a b McLaughlin, Seth (October 28, 2014). "Hillary Clinton to campaign Wednesday with Bruce Braley". The Washington Times. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
  • ^ a b c d e f "Harkin endorses Braley for U.S. Senate". The Gazette. April 21, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  • ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el "IA-Sen: Most Democratic state legislators endorse Braley". Bleeding Heartland. April 3, 2013. Archived from the original on June 20, 2013. Retrieved April 10, 2013.
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  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (June 10, 2013). "Sioux City radio host Sam Clovis joins U.S. Senate race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved June 12, 2013.
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  • ^ Emily Cahn (November 13, 2013). "Iowa's GOP Senate Field Grows Again". Retrieved November 13, 2013.
  • ^ Burns, Douglas (July 5, 2013). "Kuemper alum Schaben plans U.S. Senate bid". Daily Times Herald. Archived from the original on October 14, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
  • ^ Trygstad, Kyle (May 7, 2013). "GOP Senate Candidate Announces in Iowa". Roll Call. Retrieved May 7, 2013.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (May 6, 2013). "GOP's Matt Whitaker says he's running for U.S. Senate". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on June 28, 2013. Retrieved May 7, 2013.
  • ^ Noble, Jason (January 2, 2014). "U.S. Senate candidate David Young changes gears, will run for Congress instead". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on January 2, 2014. Retrieved January 2, 2014.
  • ^ Boshart, Rod (January 28, 2013). "Branstad not interested in Harkin's seat; Reynolds keeping options open". Globe Gazette. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
  • ^ a b Jacobs, Jennifer (January 26, 2013). "Who among Republicans may eye Harkin's Senate seat?". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 27, 2013.
  • ^ Deace, Steve (July 18, 2013). "The U.S. Senate race in Iowa". SteveDeace.com. Archived from the original on December 7, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  • ^ "Iowa Senate GOP leader Dix won't run for U.S. Senate or Congress in 2014 | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com. Archived from the original on February 20, 2013. Retrieved August 16, 2015.
  • ^ Fischer, David (December 7, 2013). "After much consideration..." Twitter. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  • ^ a b c d Jacobs, Jennifer (May 16, 2013). "Potential Republican candidate drops from Senate race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 20, 2013.
  • ^ Hohmann, James (January 26, 2013). "Harkin retirement: Jump ball in Iowa". Politico. Retrieved January 27, 2013.
  • ^ Goddard, Taegan (May 3, 2013). "King Passes on Senate Run". Political Wire. Archived from the original on May 8, 2013. Retrieved May 4, 2013.
  • ^ "Latham tells Iowa Republicans he isn't running for U.S. Senate in 2014". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com. Archived from the original on April 8, 2013. Retrieved August 16, 2015.
  • ^ Trygstad, Kyle (May 2, 2013). "Bill Northey Passes on Iowa Race #IASEN". Roll Call. Archived from the original on May 6, 2013. Retrieved May 2, 2013.
  • ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (April 23, 2013). "Report: Reynolds not running for Senate in Iowa". The Hill. Retrieved April 23, 2013.
  • ^ "IA-Sen: Rod Roberts rules out running". Bleeding Heartland. February 20, 2014. Archived from the original on February 27, 2014. Retrieved February 22, 2014.
  • ^ "Iowa Secretary of State passes up Senate bid". Sioux City Journal. May 29, 2013. Retrieved May 30, 2013.
  • ^ Tibbetts, Ed (January 26, 2013). "Harkin won't seek another Senate term". Globegazette.com. Retrieved August 16, 2015.
  • ^ Jacobs, Jennifer (February 15, 2014). "Register Exclusive: Bob Vander Plaats will not run for Senate". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
  • ^ "IA Sen- Brad Zaun Not Running". Bleeding Heartland. March 11, 2013. Archived from the original on June 20, 2013. Retrieved March 12, 2013.
  • ^ "Pastor Terry Amann Endorses Sam Clovis". Iowans for Sam Clovis for Senate. April 7, 2014. Archived from the original on May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
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  • ^ Deace, Steve (May 12, 2014). "Sam Clovis for U.S. Senate". SteveDeace.com. Archived from the original on May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Congressman Louie Gohmert to Rally Support for Clovis This Friday in Des Moines". The Iowa Republican. April 29, 2014. Archived from the original on May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Santorum Endorses True Conservative Clovis for U.S. Senate in Iowa". Patriot Voices. May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 14, 2014.
  • ^ a b c "Clovis Endorsed by Citizens United and Eagle Forum". The Iowa Republican. March 27, 2014. Archived from the original on May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
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  • ^ Deace, Steve (March 31, 2014). "Sam Clovis Wins Gun Owners of America Endorsement". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ Deace, Steve (May 6, 2014). "Tea Party Patriots Endorses Clovis for U.S. Senate". SteveDeace.com. Archived from the original on May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ a b "Correction: Republican Women-Ernst story - TimesRepublican.com". Archived from the original on May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 1, 2014.
  • ^ "Palin endorsement article". The Washington Post.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst gets Reagan endorsement". TheGazette. April 29, 2014. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  • ^ a b "In rare mailing, Romney backs Iowa's Joni Ernst for US Senate". Des Moines Register. March 5, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
  • ^ Everett, Burgess. "Rubio backs Ernst in Iowa primary". politico.com. Politico, LLC. Retrieved February 18, 2020.
  • ^ "Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds endorses Joni Ernst in U.S. Senate race". Des Moines Register. October 7, 2013. Archived from the original on October 7, 2013. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Former Republican State Representative Richard Anderson". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. September 5, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Republican State Representative Robert Bacon". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. August 15, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
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  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Republican State Representative Mark Costello". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. September 6, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Republican State Representative Cecil Dolecheck". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. September 10, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of State Representative Dean Fisher". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 22, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Former State Senator Shawn Hamerlinck". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 4, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of State Representative Megan Hess". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. August 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of State Senator Hubert Houser". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 3, 2013. Archived from the original on January 9, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Republican State Senator David Johnson". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. August 20, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
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  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Republican State Senator Amy Sinclair". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. August 19, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "State Representative Rob Taylor Endorses Ernst for U.S. Senate". The Iowa Republican. July 24, 2013. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
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  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Dallas County Recorder Chad Airhart". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. July 29, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Adel City Councilman Jon McAvoy". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. September 12, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
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  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Mills County Auditor Carol Robertson". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 16, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Joni Ernst Announces Endorsement of Story County Treasurer Renee Twedt". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 17, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "PAC endorsement". March 12, 2014. Archived from the original on March 14, 2014. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  • ^ "SCF Endorses Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate In Iowa". Senateconservatives.com. April 25, 2014. Archived from the original on September 17, 2014. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  • ^ "ShePAC Endorses Joni Ernst For United States Senate". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. October 2, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "National business group picks Joni Ernst over GOP rivals in Iowa U.S. Senate race". Des Moines Register. May 13, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Voices of Conservative Women PAC Endorses Joni Ernst for United States Senate". Joni Ernst for U.S. Senate. November 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ "The 'major endorsement' for GOP's Mark Jacobs? Bill Northey". Des Moines Register. May 15, 2014. Retrieved May 15, 2014.
  • ^ Vander Hart, Shane (December 30, 2013). "Matt Whitaker Endorsed by Former Hawkeye Brad Banks". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  • ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Endorsements". Whitaker for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on May 16, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  • ^ "Bruce Braley Earns NARAL Pro-Choice America PAC Endorsement for U.S. Senate". prochoiceamerica.org. May 15, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
  • ^ "U.S. Senate candidates Braley and Ernst agree to 3 debates". Qctimes.com. August 28, 2014. Retrieved August 16, 2015.
  • ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  • ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  • ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  • ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  • ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  • ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  • ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  • ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%
  • ^ Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 1%
  • ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 0%
  • ^ 2014 General Election Canvass Summary Iowa Secretary of State
  • ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  • External links[edit]


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