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Contents

   



(Top)
 


1 Primary elections  



1.1  Democratic primary  





1.2  Republican primary  







2 General election  



2.1  Predictions  





2.2  Polling  







3 See also  





4 Notes  





5 References  














2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey







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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 


2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive)
TBA

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election starting in 1992, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%-41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware.

Incumbent President Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. claimed he had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot in May 2024.[3]

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

The New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 4, 2024[4]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 458,281 88.2% 124
Uncommitted 46,988 9.1% 2
Terrisa Bukovinac 14,179 2.7%
Write-in votes 1,269 0.2%
Total: 520,717 100.0% 126 20 146

Republican primary[edit]

The New Jersey Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

New Jersey Republican primary, June 4, 2024[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 294,658 96.7% 12 12
Write-in votes 9,915 3.3%
Total: 304,573 100.00% 12 0 12

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[6] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[7] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] Likely D June 8, 2024
CNalysis[10] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[11] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[12] Likely D June 12, 2024
538[13] Likely D June 11, 2024
RCP[14] Likely D June 26, 2024

Polling[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R) July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 43% 16%
co/efficient (R) June 26–27, 2024 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 41% 20%[b]
Emerson College March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 39% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R) July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 8% 3% 3%
Emerson College March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 36% 8% 1% 1% 13%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  • ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
  • Partisan clients

    References[edit]

    1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  • ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  • ^ "Kennedy Collects Signatures Needed to Gain Ballot Access in New Jersey". Kennedy 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  • ^ "New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  • ^ "New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  • ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  • ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.

  • Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_New_Jersey&oldid=1232972925"

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    This page was last edited on 6 July 2024, at 16:23 (UTC).

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