Jump to content
 







Main menu
    


Navigation  


●Main page
 ●Contents
 ●Current events
 ●Random article
 ●About Wikipedia
 ●Contact us
 ●Donate
  



Contribute  


●Help
 ●Learn to edit
 ●Community portal
 ●Recent changes
 ●Upload file
  







Search  

































●Create account

●Log in
 









●Create account
 ● Log in
  



Pages for logged out editors learn more  


●Contributions
 ●Talk
  


















Contents

   



(Top)
  


1 Table of Contents  




2 References  




3 External links  













A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities






●Français
  
Edit links
  








●Article
 ●Talk
  
















●Read
 ●Edit
 ●View history
  







Tools
    


Actions  


●Read
 ●Edit
 ●View history
  



General  


●What links here
 ●Related changes
 ●Upload file
 ●Special pages
 ●Permanent link
 ●Page information
 ●Cite this page
 ●Get shortened URL
 ●Download QR code
 ●Wikidata item
  



Print/export  


●Download as PDF
 ●Printable version
  















Appearance
    

 





From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
  

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
AuthorPierre-Simon Laplace
Original titleEssai philosophique sur les probabilités
TranslatorFrederick Wilson Truscott and Frederick Lincoln Emory
SubjectTheory of probability
PublisherJohn Wiley & Son, Chapman & Hall

Original text

Essai philosophique sur les probabilités at French Wikisource
TranslationA Philosophical Essay on Probabilities at Wikisource
Websitehttps://bayes.wustl.edu/Manual/laplace_A_philosophical_essay_on_probabilities.pdf

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities is a work by Pierre-Simon Laplace on the mathematical theory of probability.[1][2][3] The book consists of two parts, the first with five chapters and the second with thirteen.[1]

Table of Contents[edit]

  1. Introduction
  2. Concerning Probability
  3. General Principles of the Calculus of Probability
  4. Concerning Hope
  5. Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probability
  1. Games of Chance
  2. Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal
  3. Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events
  4. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy
  5. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences
  6. Concerning the Probability of Testimonies
  7. Concerning the Selections and Deliberations of Assemblies
  8. Concerning the Probability of the Judgements of Tribunals
  9. Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage and Some Assemblies
  10. Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend on the Probability of Events
  11. Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities
  12. Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty
  13. Historical Note of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d Laplace, Pierre-Simon. A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (PDF). Translated by Trruscott, Frederick Wilson; Emory, Frederick Lincoln. John Wiley & Son and Chapman & Hall.
  • ^ "Philosophical Essay on Probabilities - work by Laplace". Encyclopædia Britannica. Retrieved 2021-04-09.
  • ^ "Figures from the History of Probability and Statistics". Figures from the History of Probability and Statistics. Retrieved 2021-04-09.

    • External links[edit]


    Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=A_Philosophical_Essay_on_Probabilities&oldid=1135443492"
    Categories: 
    ●History of probability and statistics
     ●Probability books
     ●1814 documents
     ●19th-century essays
     ●Pierre-Simon Laplace
     Hidden categories: 
    ●Articles containing French-language text
     ●Articles that link to foreign-language Wikisources
     ●Articles that link to Wikisource
      


    ●This page was last edited on 24 January 2023, at 18:24 (UTC).
    ●Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0; additional terms may apply. By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Wikipedia® is a registered trademark of the Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., a non-profit organization.


    ●Privacy policy
    ●About Wikipedia
    ●Disclaimers
    ●Contact Wikipedia
    ●Code of Conduct
    ●Developers
    ●Statistics
    ●Cookie statement
    ●Mobile view


    Wikimedia Foundation
    Powered by MediaWiki