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Contents

   



(Top)
 


1 Primary elections  



1.1  Republican caucus  





1.2  Democratic caucus  







2 General election  



2.1  Candidates  





2.2  Predictions  





2.3  Polling  







3 See also  





4 Notes  





5 References  














2024 United States presidential election in Alaska







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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 

(Redirected from 2024 Alaska Democratic presidential primary)

2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate TBA Kamala Harris
(presumptive)

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alaska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alaska has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] This is the first presidential election following the state's adoption of Measure 2, which institutes ranked-choice voting for all statewide general elections.[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]

Ever since Alaska started voting in presidential races in 1960, the only time its electoral votes did not go to the Republican nominee was when incumbent Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in a landslide in 1964. Alaska is the most Republican-leaning state on the West Coast. In 2020, Trump only won Alaska by 10 percentage points, much less than Republicans in the past like George W. Bush's 26% victory in the state in 2004. Democrat Mary Peltola has represented Alaska at-large in the U.S. House since September 2022.

Alaska has continued to vote Republican, but not as strongly in recent years and it is now considered a moderately red state. Republicans are still heavily favored to carry the state in 2024.

Primary elections[edit]

Republican caucus[edit]

The Alaska Republican caucuses were held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Alaska Republican primary, March 5, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 9,243 87.58% 29 29
Nikki Haley 1,266 12.00%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 45 0.43%
Total: 10,554 100.00% 29 29
Source: [4]

Democratic caucus[edit]

The Alaska Democratic caucus was held on April 13, 2024. Joe Biden was the only person on the ballot and won the caucus via voice vote with 15 pledged delegates.[5]

Alaska Democratic caucuses, April 13, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) Voice vote 15 15
Total: 15 15
Source:[6]


General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Independent candidate Cornel West will appear on the ballot as the nominee of the Aurora Party, a party that only exists in Alaska and only has ballot access for presidential elections.[7] Independent candidate Jasmine Sherman will be representing the Green Party of Alaska on the ballot.

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R June 13, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] Likely R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[12] Likely R December 30, 2023
CNN[13] Solid R January 14, 2024
The Economist[14] Safe R June 17, 2024
538[15] Likely R June 11, 2024
RCP[16] Likely R June 26, 2024

Polling[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) February 23 – March 2, 2024 1,120 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 41% 6%
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) 45% 37% 19%
Alaska Survey Research July 18–21, 2023 1,336 (LV) 43% 36% 21%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) 37% 29% 17% 17%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References[edit]

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  • ^ Brooks, James (June 20, 2024). "Want to run for president in Alaska? You'll need a few thousand friends". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
  • ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  • ^ Ruskin, Liz (March 4, 2024). "Trump or Haley? Alaska Republicans vote Tuesday". Alaska Public Radio. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  • ^ Bohrer, Becky; Gruver, Mead (April 13, 2024). "Biden wins more delegates in Wyoming and Alaska as he heads toward Democratic nomination". Associated Press. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
  • ^ "Alaska Democratic Primary Election Results". Ballotpedia. April 13, 2024. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
  • ^ Downing, Suzanne (December 14, 2023). "Cornel West, independent candidate, says he will be on Alaska ballot for president in 2024". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  • ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  • ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  • ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  • ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  • ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.

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    This page was last edited on 28 June 2024, at 03:04 (UTC).

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