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The 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in a three-way race in 2018, and is running for a third term.[1] Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[2]
| Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Martin Heinrich (D) | $9,067,125 | $5,341,198 | $4,380,901 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[3] | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | 122,961 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 122,961 | 100.0% | ||
| Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nella Domenici (R) | $1,525,766 | $464,576 | $1,061,190 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[3] | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nella Domenici | 79,809 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 79,809 | 100.0% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[23] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[24] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[25] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Nella Domenici (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[A] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | June 13–14, 2024 | 555 (V) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Red Oak Strategic (R)[A] | May 7–19, 2024 | 1,800 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
| 1892 Polling (R)[A] | March 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | Nella Domenici | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
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