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Contents

   



(Top)
 


1 Election ratings  



1.1  Latest published ratings for competitive seats  





1.2  Generic ballot polls  







2 Party listings  



2.1  Democratic-held seats  





2.2  Republican-held seats  







3 References  














2022 United States House of Representatives election ratings







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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Thomascampbell123 (talk | contribs)at01:35, 2 October 2021 (Created article). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.
(diff)  Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision  (diff)

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections will be held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 Senate elections, will also be held on this date.

Election ratings

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

District CPVI[1] Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
October 1,
2021
[3]
Sabato
October 29,
2021
[4]
Alaska at-large R+9 Don Young (R) 54.4% R Solid R Likely R
Maine 2 R+6 Jared Golden (D) 53.0% D Tossup Tossup
Nebraska 1 R+9 Jeff Fortenberry (R) 59.5% R Solid R Likely R
Nebraska 2 R+2 Don Bacon (R) 50.8% R Likely R Lean R
Oregon 4 D+4 Peter DeFazio (D) 51.5% D Likely D Likely D
Oregon 5 D+1 Kurt Schrader (D) 51.9% D Lean D Likely D
Oregon 6 D+3 New Seat New Seat Likely D Likely D
District 2021 CPVI Incumbent Previous result Cook Sabato

Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2020 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Democratic Republican Lead
FiveThirtyEight Oct 1, 2021 Until Sep 28, 2021 45.1% 41.7% +3.4%
RealClearPolitics Sep 30, 2021 Aug 3 - Sep 28, 2021 45.7% 42.7% +3.0%

Party listings

The campaign committees for the two parties (the DCCC and NRCC) publish their own lists of targeted seats.

Democratic-held seats

These races were announced as the NRCC's target seats in February 2021.[5] Seats in bold were included in the DCCC's frontline seats in March 2021.[6] On May 4, 2021, the NRCC released a list of 10 additional house seats to target.[7] Both lists were published before redistricting.

Republican target seats

  • Arizona 2: Ann Kirkpatrick (retiring)
  • California 3: John Garamendi
  • California 7: Ami Bera
  • California 10: Josh Harder
  • California 16: Jim Costa
  • California 36: Raul Ruiz
  • California 45: Katie Porter
  • California 49: Mike Levin
  • Connecticut 5: Jahana Hayes
  • Florida 7: Stephanie Murphy
  • Florida 13: Charlie Crist (retiring)
  • Georgia 6: Lucy McBath
  • Georgia 7: Carolyn Bourdeaux
  • Illinois 3: Marie Newman
  • Illinois 6: Sean Casten
  • Illinois 14: Lauren Underwood
  • Illinois 17: Cheri Bustos (retiring)
  • Iowa 3: Cindy Axne
  • Kansas 3: Sharice Davids
  • Maine 2: Jared Golden
  • Michigan 5: Dan Kildee
  • Michigan 8: Elissa Slotkin
  • Michigan 11: Haley Stevens
  • Minnesota 2: Angie Craig
  • Minnesota 3: Dean Phillips
  • Nevada 3: Susie Lee
  • Nevada 4: Steven Horsford
  • New Hampshire 1: Chris Pappas
  • New Jersey 3: Andy Kim
  • New Jersey 5: Josh Gottheimer
  • New Jersey 7: Tom Malinowski
  • New Jersey 11: Mikie Sherrill
  • New York 3: Thomas Suozzi
  • New York 4: Kathleen Rice
  • New York 18: Sean Patrick Maloney
  • New York 19: Antonio Delgado
  • New York 20: Paul Tonko
  • New York 25: Joe Morelle
  • New York 26: Brian Higgins
  • North Carolina 2: Deborah Ross
  • Ohio 13: Tim Ryan (retiring)
  • Oregon 4: Peter DeFazio
  • Oregon 5: Kurt Schrader
  • Pennsylvania 6: Chrissy Houlahan
  • Pennsylvania 7: Susan Wild
  • Pennsylvania 8: Matt Cartwright
  • Pennsylvania 17: Conor Lamb (retiring)
  • Texas 7: Lizzie Fletcher
  • Texas 15: Vicente Gonzalez
  • Texas 28: Henry Cuellar
  • Texas 32: Colin Allred
  • Texas 34: Filemon Vela (retiring)
  • Virginia 2: Elaine Luria
  • Virginia 7: Abigail Spanberger
  • Washington 8: Kim Schrier
  • Wisconsin 3: Ron Kind (retiring)
  • Republican-held seats

    On April 6, 2021, the DCCC released their list of target seats, including open and Republican-held seats.[8] This list was published before redistricting.

    Democratic target seats

  • California 21: David Valadao
  • California 25: Mike Garcia
  • California 39: Young Kim
  • California 48: Michelle Steel
  • Florida 26: Carlos Giménez
  • Florida 27: Maria Elvira Salazar
  • Indiana 5: Victoria Spartz
  • Iowa 1: Ashley Hinson
  • Iowa 2: Mariannette Miller-Meeks
  • Missouri 2: Ann Wagner
  • Nebraska 2: Don Bacon
  • New York 2: Andrew Garbarino
  • New York 22: Claudia Tenney
  • New York 24: John Katko
  • Ohio 1: Steve Chabot
  • Pennsylvania 1: Brian Fitzpatrick
  • Pennsylvania 10: Scott Perry
  • Texas 23: Tony Gonzales
  • Texas 24: Beth Van Duyne
  • Utah 4: Burgess Owens
  • References

    1. ^ "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings". The Cook Political Report. October 1, 2021. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  • ^ "House election results 2020". Cnn.com. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  • ^ "2022 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  • ^ Coleman, J. Miles (September 29, 2021). "Notes on the State of Politics: September 29, 2021". Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  • ^ "NRCC Announces 47 Offensive Pick-Up Opportunities for 2022 Cycle". NRCC. February 10, 2021. Retrieved February 22, 2021.
  • ^ "DCCC Announces Members of 2021-2022 Frontline Program". DCCC. March 1, 2021. Retrieved March 5, 2021.
  • ^ "NRCC Expands Offensive Map, Announces 10 New Targets Following Reapportionment". nrcc.org. NRCC. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  • ^ "DCCC Announces 2021-2022 Districts In Play". dccc.org. DCCC. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.

  • Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings&oldid=1047678744"

    Categories: 
    2022 United States House of Representatives elections
    Opinion polling in the United States
     



    This page was last edited on 2 October 2021, at 01:35 (UTC).

    This version of the page has been revised. Besides normal editing, the reason for revision may have been that this version contains factual inaccuracies, vandalism, or material not compatible with the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License.



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