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Contents

   



(Top)
 


1 Primary elections  



1.1  Democratic primary  





1.2  Republican primary  







2 General election  



2.1  Predictions  





2.2  Polling  





2.3  Electoral slates  





2.4  Results  



2.4.1  By Grand Division  





2.4.2  By congressional district  





2.4.3  By county  









3 Analysis  





4 See also  





5 Notes  





6 References  





7 External links  














2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee







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2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout69.30% Increase[1] 7.38 pp
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,852,475 1,143,711
Percentage 60.66% 37.45%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]

Trump won Tennessee with 60.66% of the vote, almost tied with his 60.72% vote share in 2016. Despite this, Biden got 37.45% of the vote, three points better than Hillary Clinton. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Tennessee has not supported a Democrat for president since 1996. Biden won the same counties as Clinton did: urban Shelby and Davidson counties—anchored by Memphis and Nashville, respectively—as well as majority-Black Haywood County. In addition, Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as they had Trump leading Biden by 55%–41%.[5] Biden also became the first Democrat to win the presidency without Hardeman County.[6]

Despite this, Biden was able to improve his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, gaining 64.5% of the vote in Davidson County, the best Democratic performance in the county since FDR won 72.1% of the vote in 1944. At the same time, Biden also made gains in the Nashville suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing considerably better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. For example, Biden lost Rutherford County, anchored by Murfreesboro, only by 15.4%, much lower than Clinton's 25.9-point loss in 2016. Additionally, he narrowed Trump's margins in Hamilton County—anchored by Chattanooga—only losing it by 9.7 points, the best Democratic performance there since Bill Clinton lost the county by 6.5% in 1996; and with 44.1% of the popular vote, the best Democratic percentage since Carter's 48% in 1976, consequently losing by 2.8 points. This is the first time a Democrat has even garnered 40% of the vote in Rutherford County since 2000, when favorite son Al Gore lost the county by 9.7 points while at the same time losing both his home state and the election.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Tennessee came from a 69% showing among Southern whites, who made up 84% of the electorate. Similarly, Trump carried white born-again/Evangelical Christians by 86%–12%. The state of Tennessee is entirely covered in the Bible Belt. The only strength Biden showed was with 88% of African-American voters. 65% of voters opposed removing Confederate statues from public places in Tennessee, and these voters backed Trump by 83%–15%.[7]

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

The Democratic primary was on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[8][9] Former vice president Joe Biden easily decided the primary, winning almost 42% of the vote and 36 delegates and benefitting from overwhelming African-American support, as well as rural support among predominantly white working-class voters. Senator Bernie Sanders took 25% of the vote gaining 22 delegates, while former mayor Michael Bloomberg reached the threshold with slightly more than 15% but was not allocated any statewide delegates due to his withdrawal the next day. Otherwise Biden would have had 33 delegates, Sanders 20 delegates and Bloomberg 10 delegates. Senator Elizabeth Warren received a single district delegate.

Final results by county
Popular vote share by county
  Biden
  •   30–40%
      40–50%
      50–60%
      60–70%
  Sanders
  •   30–40%
2020 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Joe Biden 215,390 41.72 36[a]
Bernie Sanders 129,168 25.02 22[b]
Michael Bloomberg 79,789 15.46 5[c]
Elizabeth Warren 53,732 10.41 1
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[d] 17,102 3.31
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[d] 10,671 2.07
Tulsi Gabbard 2,278 0.44
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[d] 1,932 0.37
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,650 0.32
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 1,097 0.21
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 953 0.18
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 498 0.10
John Delaney (withdrawn) 378 0.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 239 0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 182 0.04
Uncommitted 1,191 0.23
Total 516,250 100% 64

Republican primary[edit]

The Republican primary was on March 3, 2020. Incumbent President Donald Trump won the state in a landslide getting 96.5% of the vote and all 58 delegates

Former Tennessee senator Bob Corker was considered a potential primary opponent for Trump.[12]

Final results by county
Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   >90%
2020 Tennessee Republican primary[13]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 384,266 96.47 58
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 4,178 1.05 0
Bill Weld 3,922 0.98 0
Uncommitted 5,948 1.49 0
Total 398,314 100% 58

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[15] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[17] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[18] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[19] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[20] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[21] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[22] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[23] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[24] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[25] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[26] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[27] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling[edit]

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[e]
Margin
RealClearPolitics Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 September 15, 2020 39.0% 53.0% 8.0% Trump +14.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 41.4% 55.1% 3.5% Trump +13.7
Average 40.2% 54.1% 5.7% Trump +13.9

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,342 (LV) ± 2.5% 54%[g] 45%
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 485 (LV) ± 5.9% 58% 41% 1% 0%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,099 (LV) 56% 42%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,329 (LV) 58% 41% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,796 (LV) 59% 40% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,481 (LV) 61% 38% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,092 (LV) 61% 37% 2%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University May 5–22, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 42% 5%[h] 2%
East Tennessee State University Archived May 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 536 (LV) 53% 36% 6% 5%
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 39% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 38% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 37% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 36% 7%

Electoral slates[edit]

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:[28]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Independent
Don Blankenship and William Mohr
Constitution Party
Howie Hawkins and Angela Nicole Walker
Green Party
Alyson Kennedy and Malcom Jarrett
Socialist Workers Party
Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Party for Socialism and Liberation
Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson
Alliance Party
Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel
American Solidarity Party
Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze
Independent
Tom Hoefling and Andy Prior
Independent
R19 Boddie and Eric Stoneham
Independent
Kasey Wells and Rachel Wells
Independent
  • Paul Chapman
  • Cindy Hatcher
  • Tina Benkiser
  • John Stanbery
  • Beverly Knight-Hurley
  • Mary Parks
  • Jim Looney
  • Kathy Bryson
  • Terry Roland
  • Scott Smith
  • Julia Atchley-Pace
    • Barbara Wagner
  • Maria Brewer
  • Mike Hampton
  • Meryl Rice
  • Madeline Rogero
  • Deborah Reed
  • Andrew Berke
  • Gale Carson
  • Charles Howard
  • Kevin Huddleston
  • Martha Shepard
    • Robert Hammett
  • Justin Cornett
  • David Tyler
  • Suzanne Eltz
  • Daniel Lewis
  • Joshua Eakle
  • Trisha Butler
  • Victoria Sexton
  • Jaron Weldner
  • Heather Scott
  • David Sexton
    • Breanna Sellars
  • LeeAnn Anderson
  • Sammantha Ashley
  • Clarissa Layne
  • Nicola La Mattina
  • Ricky Williams
  • Mike Magnusson
  • Rochelle Stevens
  • Nicholas Tatum
  • Isaac Ford
  • Newton Ford
    • Coal Lankston
  • Terri Coker
  • H. James Hepping
  • Laura Marquis
  • James Barlow
  • James Beck
  • Joan Castle
  • James Webb
  • Susan Lankston
  • Darrell Castle
    • Josh Berger
  • Martin Pleasant
  • Trevor Miles
  • Michael Principe
  • Elizabeth Dachowski
  • Leith Patton
  • Howard Switzer
  • Richard Griffith
  • James Maynard
  • Charles Owens
  • John Miglietta
    • Helen Wright
  • Jahaan Jones
  • Cordelious Johnson
  • Kristin Griffin
  • Mohd Nasan
  • Clark Harris
  • Keith Cherry
  • Erica Teel
  • Emily Dalerta
  • Jimmy Smartt
  • Celest Farmer
    • Victoria Hewlett
  • Daniel Castillo
  • James Baker
  • Lucas Byrd
  • Ronda Shelton
  • Janice Martin
  • Haley Rader
  • Cassy Morris
  • Kole Oakes
  • Sebastian Baltes
  • Zen Baltes
    • Karrie Davis
  • Kurt Davis
  • Marjorie Lloyd
  • Timothy Nelson
  • Heather Couch
  • Sue Litman
  • Jeffrey Lichterman
  • Steven Pitcairn
  • Molly Hoehn
  • Jonathan Etheridge
  • Starla Etheridge
    • Juan Villalba
  • Sarah Bourque
  • Robert Ritchey
  • Clinton Poston
  • Jonathan Sword
  • Caleb Poston
  • Nathan Warf
  • Heidi Scott
  • David Rogers
  • Patrick Harris
  • Sara Taylor
    • Olivia McCaughan
  • Reginald Jackson
  • Colin Nottage
  • Rebecca Murphy
  • Sherronda Broughton
  • Brittany Mansfield
  • Doris Littleton
  • Jamel Carter
  • Yolanda Roberson
  • Brittany Murphy
  • Candi Carter
    • Jesse Owenby
  • Paula Roffey
  • Alexander Ionnidis
  • Jamie Christley
  • Cecret Williams
  • David Schaffer
  • Bryan Davis
  • James Goodman
  • Josiah Weaver
  • Susan Davis
  • Tom Kovach
    • Preston Sprinkle
  • Fran Stidham
  • Ernestine Thomas
  • Amber Penny
  • Stephanie Frierson
  • Isiah Strafford
  • Debra Rainey
  • Jason Ballard
  • Brigitte Philmore
  • Joseph Frierson
  • Tamika Wright
    • Bettina Cohan
  • William Bowlin
  • Melissa Holloway
  • John Guigneaux
  • Tiffany Snow
  • Ashley Stone
  • Whitney Tucker
  • Matthew Brown
  • Lacoco Pirtle
  • Kim Moses
  • Kippie Lowry
  • Results[edit]

    2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee[29]
    Party Candidate Votes % ±%
    Republican Donald Trump
    Mike Pence
    1,852,475 60.66% −0.06%
    Democratic Joe Biden
    Kamala Harris
    1,143,711 37.45% +2.73%
    Independent[i] Jo Jorgensen
    Spike Cohen
    29,877 0.98% −1.83%
    Independent Kanye West
    Michelle Tidball
    10,279 0.34% N/A
    Independent[j] Don Blankenship
    William Mohr
    5,365 0.18% +0.12%
    Independent[k] Howie Hawkins
    Angela Walker
    4,545 0.15% −0.49%
    Independent[l] Alyson Kennedy
    Malcolm Jarrett
    2,576 0.08% −0.04%
    Independent[m] Gloria La Riva
    Sunil Freeman
    2,301 0.08% N/A
    Independent[n] Rocky De La Fuente
    Darcy Richardson
    1,860 0.06% −0.10%
    American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
    Amar Patel (write-in)
    762 0.02% N/A
    Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
    Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
    68 0.00% N/A
    Independent Tom Hoefling (write-in)
    Andy Prior (write-in)
    31 0.00% N/A
    Independent R19 Boddie (write-in)
    Eric Stoneham (write-in)
    1 0.00% N/A
    Independent Kasey Wells (write-in)
    Rachel Wells (write-in)
    0 0.00% N/A
    Total votes 3,053,851 100.00%
    Republican win

    By Grand Division[edit]

    Results by Grand Division
    Trump:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

    Trump won all three of Tennessee's Grand Divisions—West, Middle, and East Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In 2016, Trump had won it with 48.93% to Clinton's 47.82%. Democrats had previously won in West Tennessee in 2004, 2008, and 2012.[30]

    Grand Division Trump Biden
    West 49.43% 49.06%
    Middle 59.20% 38.67%
    East 68.97% 29.27%

    By congressional district[edit]

    Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[31]

    District Trump Biden Representative
    1st 76.2% 22.1% Phil Roe
    Diana Harshbarger
    2nd 63.6% 34.5% Tim Burchett
    3rd 65.3% 32.9% Chuck Fleischmann
    4th 67.5% 30.7% Scott DesJarlais
    5th 36.7% 60.3% Jim Cooper
    6th 72.7% 25.6% John W. Rose
    7th 66.9% 31.3% Mark E. Green
    8th 65.4% 33.2% David Kustoff
    9th 19.9% 78.5% Steve Cohen

    By county[edit]

    County Donald Trump
    Republican
    Joe Biden
    Democratic
    Various candidates
    Other parties
    Margin Total
    # % # % # % # %
    Anderson 23,184 65.18% 11,741 33.01% 645 1.81% 11,443 32.17% 35,570
    Bedford 14,354 75.20% 4,453 23.33% 281 1.47% 9,901 51.87% 19,088
    Benton 5,668 78.07% 1,529 21.06% 63 0.87% 4,139 57.01% 7,260
    Bledsoe 4,725 82.06% 971 16.86% 62 1.08% 3,754 65.20% 5,758
    Blount 47,369 71.12% 17,932 26.92% 1,308 1.96% 29,437 44.20% 66,609
    Bradley 35,204 76.76% 9,851 21.48% 810 1.76% 25,353 55.28% 45,865
    Campbell 12,331 82.58% 2,441 16.35% 161 1.07% 9,890 66.23% 14,933
    Cannon 5,190 79.15% 1,261 19.23% 106 1.62% 3,929 59.92% 6,557
    Carroll 9,205 77.32% 2,559 21.50% 141 1.18% 6,646 55.82% 11,905
    Carter 19,584 79.96% 4,529 18.49% 379 1.55% 15,055 61.47% 24,492
    Cheatham 14,438 71.26% 5,514 27.22% 308 1.52% 8,924 44.04% 20,260
    Chester 5,952 78.48% 1,412 18.62% 220 2.90% 4,540 59.86% 7,584
    Claiborne 10,604 81.92% 2,202 17.01% 139 1.07% 8,402 64.91% 12,945
    Clay 2,733 77.95% 735 20.96% 38 1.09% 1,998 56.99% 3,506
    Cocke 12,162 81.85% 2,533 17.05% 164 1.10% 9,629 64.80% 14,859
    Coffee 17,883 73.65% 5,705 23.49% 694 2.86% 12,178 50.16% 24,282
    Crockett 4,673 76.43% 1,382 22.60% 59 0.97% 3,291 53.83% 6,114
    Cumberland 25,168 77.97% 6,728 20.84% 383 1.19% 18,440 57.13% 32,279
    Davidson 100,218 32.36% 199,703 64.49% 9,737 3.15% −99,485 −32.13% 309,658
    Decatur 4,229 80.69% 904 17.25% 108 2.06% 3,325 63.44% 5,241
    DeKalb 6,672 78.37% 1,750 20.56% 91 1.07% 4,922 57.81% 8,513
    Dickson 17,643 72.54% 6,106 25.10% 574 2.36% 11,537 47.44% 24,323
    Dyer 11,768 78.04% 3,158 20.94% 153 1.02% 8,610 57.10% 15,079
    Fayette 15,690 68.26% 7,027 30.57% 267 1.17% 8,663 37.69% 22,984
    Fentress 7,441 85.24% 1,214 13.91% 74 0.85% 6,227 71.33% 8,729
    Franklin 13,987 73.11% 4,864 25.42% 281 1.47% 9,123 47.69% 19,132
    Gibson 16,259 72.80% 5,771 25.84% 305 1.36% 10,488 46.96% 22,335
    Giles 9,784 74.10% 3,298 24.98% 121 0.92% 6,486 49.12% 13,203
    Grainger 8,565 84.52% 1,467 14.48% 102 1.00% 7,098 70.04% 10,134
    Greene 22,259 79.25% 5,199 18.51% 629 2.24% 17,060 60.74% 28,087
    Grundy 4,802 82.02% 988 16.87% 65 1.11% 3,814 65.15% 5,855
    Hamblen 18,811 76.37% 5,500 22.33% 320 1.30% 13,311 54.04% 24,631
    Hamilton 92,108 53.83% 75,522 44.14% 3,483 2.03% 16,586 9.69% 171,113
    Hancock 2,372 86.44% 362 13.19% 10 0.37% 2,010 73.25% 2,744
    Hardeman 5,760 57.24% 4,180 41.54% 123 1.22% 1,580 15.70% 10,063
    Hardin 9,559 82.85% 1,775 15.38% 204 1.77% 7,784 67.47% 11,538
    Hawkins 20,405 82.20% 4,083 16.45% 336 1.35% 16,322 65.75% 24,824
    Haywood 3,343 44.94% 4,012 53.93% 84 1.13% −669 −8.99% 7,439
    Henderson 9,797 81.51% 2,092 17.40% 131 1.09% 7,705 64.11% 12,020
    Henry 11,239 74.69% 3,548 23.58% 260 1.73% 7,691 51.11% 15,047
    Hickman 7,577 77.06% 2,130 21.66% 125 1.28% 5,447 55.40% 9,832
    Houston 2,718 73.74% 871 23.63% 97 2.63% 1,847 50.11% 3,686
    Humphreys 6,120 74.31% 2,017 24.49% 99 1.20% 4,103 49.82% 8,236
    Jackson 4,118 77.36% 1,135 21.32% 70 1.32% 2,983 56.04% 5,323
    Jefferson 18,651 78.98% 4,654 19.71% 311 1.31% 13,997 59.27% 23,616
    Johnson 6,468 82.91% 1,246 15.97% 87 1.12% 5,222 66.94% 7,801
    Knox 124,540 56.47% 91,422 41.45% 4,594 2.08% 33,118 15.02% 220,556
    Lake 1,492 73.35% 526 25.86% 16 0.79% 966 47.49% 2,034
    Lauderdale 5,674 63.29% 3,193 35.62% 98 1.09% 2,481 27.67% 8,965
    Lawrence 15,334 81.92% 3,195 17.07% 189 1.01% 12,139 64.85% 18,718
    Lewis 4,474 79.76% 1,072 19.11% 63 1.13% 3,402 60.65% 5,609
    Lincoln 12,281 78.68% 2,919 18.70% 408 2.62% 9,362 59.98% 15,608
    Loudon 21,713 73.99% 6,948 23.68% 686 2.33% 14,765 50.31% 29,347
    Macon 8,096 85.34% 1,307 13.78% 84 0.88% 6,789 71.56% 9,487
    Madison 23,943 55.75% 18,390 42.82% 617 1.43% 5,553 12.93% 42,950
    Marion 9,911 74.77% 3,177 23.97% 168 1.26% 6,734 50.80% 13,256
    Marshall 11,043 74.22% 3,605 24.23% 230 1.55% 7,438 49.99% 14,878
    Maury 31,464 67.44% 14,418 30.90% 775 1.66% 17,046 36.54% 46,657
    McMinn 18,198 79.66% 4,361 19.09% 285 1.25% 13,837 60.57% 22,844
    McNairy 9,093 80.65% 1,943 17.23% 239 2.12% 7,150 63.42% 11,275
    Meigs 4,467 80.75% 1,008 18.22% 57 1.03% 3,459 62.53% 5,532
    Monroe 16,783 80.70% 3,764 18.10% 250 1.20% 13,019 62.60% 20,797
    Montgomery 42,187 54.96% 32,472 42.30% 2,099 2.74% 9,715 12.66% 76,758
    Moore 2,888 81.60% 573 16.19% 78 2.21% 2,315 65.41% 3,539
    Morgan 6,930 84.22% 1,167 14.18% 131 1.60% 5,763 70.04% 8,228
    Obion 10,790 79.80% 2,589 19.15% 142 1.05% 8,201 60.65% 13,521
    Overton 7,918 78.89% 2,033 20.26% 86 0.85% 5,885 58.63% 10,037
    Perry 2,775 80.95% 615 17.94% 38 1.11% 2,160 63.01% 3,428
    Pickett 2,381 81.24% 525 17.91% 25 0.85% 1,856 63.33% 2,931
    Polk 6,792 81.24% 1,492 17.85% 76 0.91% 5,300 63.39% 8,360
    Putnam 23,759 70.73% 9,185 27.34% 649 1.93% 14,574 43.39% 33,593
    Rhea 11,050 81.03% 2,369 17.37% 218 1.60% 8,681 63.66% 13,637
    Roane 19,230 74.20% 6,043 23.32% 644 2.48% 13,187 50.88% 25,917
    Robertson 24,536 72.77% 8,692 25.78% 489 1.45% 15,844 46.99% 33,717
    Rutherford 81,480 56.63% 59,341 41.24% 3,057 2.13% 22,139 15.39% 143,878
    Scott 8,004 88.42% 986 10.89% 62 0.69% 7,018 77.53% 9,052
    Sequatchie 5,855 80.74% 1,298 17.90% 99 1.36% 4,557 62.84% 7,252
    Sevier 33,783 77.60% 8,721 20.03% 1,031 2.37% 25,062 57.57% 43,535
    Shelby 129,815 33.98% 246,105 64.42% 6,135 1.60% −116,290 −30.44% 382,055
    Smith 7,136 78.84% 1,802 19.91% 113 1.25% 5,334 58.93% 9,051
    Stewart 4,950 78.62% 1,232 19.57% 114 1.81% 3,718 59.05% 6,296
    Sullivan 55,860 75.12% 17,272 23.23% 1,225 1.65% 38,588 51.89% 74,357
    Sumner 63,454 68.50% 27,680 29.88% 1,496 1.62% 35,774 38.62% 92,630
    Tipton 20,070 73.49% 6,837 25.04% 401 1.47% 13,233 48.45% 27,308
    Trousdale 2,936 73.44% 1,012 25.31% 50 1.25% 1,924 48.13% 3,998
    Unicoi 6,599 79.44% 1,615 19.44% 93 1.12% 4,984 60.00% 8,307
    Union 6,803 83.75% 1,249 15.38% 71 0.87% 5,554 68.37% 8,123
    Van Buren 2,342 80.18% 544 18.62% 35 1.20% 1,798 61.56% 2,921
    Warren 11,850 74.02% 3,924 24.51% 235 1.47% 7,926 49.51% 16,009
    Washington 40,444 67.18% 18,638 30.96% 1,121 1.86% 21,806 36.22% 60,203
    Wayne 5,795 86.89% 820 12.30% 54 0.81% 4,975 74.59% 6,669
    Weakley 10,396 75.69% 3,020 21.99% 319 2.32% 7,376 53.70% 13,735
    White 9,606 80.76% 2,143 18.02% 146 1.22% 7,463 62.74% 11,895
    Williamson 86,469 62.20% 50,161 36.08% 2,386 1.72% 36,308 26.12% 139,016
    Wilson 50,296 67.67% 22,254 29.94% 1,780 2.39% 28,042 37.73% 74,330
    Totals 1,852,475 60.66% 1,143,711 37.45% 57,665 1.89% 708,764 23.21% 3,053,851
    •   Democratic — +10–12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10–12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5–15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
  • Analysis[edit]

    Winning the state by 708,764 votes, Tennessee gave Trump his largest margin of victory by the number of votes nationally. This exceeded the 631,221-vote margin by which he won in Texas, marking the first time since 1988 (when Florida provided the largest margin of victory) where Texas did not provide the Republican presidential nominee with his widest margin of votes for a statewide victory. Additionally, this is the second consecutive election in which a nominee carried over 60% of Tennessee's vote, the first time since 1996 that Tennessee and neighboring Georgia did not vote for the same candidate, and the first time since 1980 that Tennessee was won by the Republicans while Georgia was won by the Democrats.

    See also[edit]

    Notes[edit]

    1. ^ 33 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  • ^ 20 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  • ^ 10 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  • ^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, after early voting started.
  • ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  • ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  • ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  • ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  • ^ Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • ^ Blankenship and Mohr were nominated by the Constitution Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • ^ Hawkins and Walker were nominated by the Green Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • ^ Kennedy and Jarrett were nominated by the Socialist Workers Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • ^ La Riva and Freeman were nominated by the Party for Socialism and Liberation but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • ^ De La Fuente and Richardson were nominated by the Alliance Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  • References[edit]

    1. ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2020". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  • ^ "Tennessee Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  • ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  • ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  • ^ Mehta, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil (June 28, 2018). "Tennessee President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 15, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  • ^ Leip, Dave. "Tennessee Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved February 21, 2023.
  • ^ "Tennessee Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  • ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  • ^ Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  • ^ "March 3, 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Tennessee Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  • ^ Mattise, Jonathan (December 20, 2018). "Trump foil, retiring GOP Sen. Corker: 'no idea' what's next". Associated Press. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  • ^ "March 3, 2020 Republican Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  • ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  • ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  • ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  • ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  • ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  • ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  • ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  • ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  • ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  • ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  • ^ State of Tennessee (December 2, 2020). "Tennessee Certificate of Ascertainment 2020" (PDF). National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  • ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results, November 3, 2020, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. December 2, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
  • ^ "2020 Tennessee presidential election by Grand division". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved April 12, 2024.
  • ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
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    External links[edit]


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